Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3805.974400 4068.139960 4330.106073 4611.190287 4903.923077 5199.487746 5520.143957
2025-09-07 3402.986198 3805.669979 4219.486056 4675.319070 5162.144258 5665.350245 6223.641796
2025-09-14 3110.336216 3599.792732 4113.442919 4690.198342 5317.320486 5976.238287 6718.559634
2025-09-21 2871.851856 3423.984549 4013.911861 4687.065629 5429.916207 6220.857663 7122.873437
2025-09-28 2615.897101 3208.773395 3853.111545 4599.460185 5434.334136 6333.983021 7371.225152
2025-10-05 2544.525803 3191.865798 3904.804490 4740.187607 5684.321175 6710.893375 7904.083121
2025-10-12 2440.670867 3129.741084 3898.546815 4809.454915 5849.088842 6989.127513 8324.261642
2025-10-19 2312.618361 3031.947897 3844.975978 4818.888054 5941.106890 7181.826504 8645.436884
2025-10-26 2193.780261 2938.581437 3790.958016 4822.691194 6022.275183 7358.692588 8945.790762
2025-11-02 2105.221667 2876.559230 3769.473955 4860.545106 6139.423088 7573.913672 9287.619585
2025-11-09 1991.564796 2778.996036 3701.560548 4839.975171 6185.482628 7705.221948 9531.709708
2025-11-16 1917.721105 2726.703746 3684.694855 4877.065185 6296.586250 7909.575457 9858.167592
2025-11-23 1813.167836 2633.628425 3616.983632 4852.757735 6335.778660 8032.059877 10092.845187
2025-11-30 1761.159595 2604.503002 3625.529483 4918.917120 6481.323846 8278.037198 10470.827794
2025-12-07 1687.769583 2544.956590 3594.044796 4934.297138 6564.593160 8449.968421 10761.948718
2025-12-14 1610.157515 2476.800340 3549.227068 4931.058934 6623.639810 8592.029235 11017.188589
2025-12-21 1496.591155 2357.271292 3436.266503 4840.493455 6574.360704 8603.755675 11117.533204
2025-12-28 1496.658391 2388.049427 3513.461219 4985.966380 6811.940324 8956.434526 11620.321573
2026-01-04 1464.419177 2373.952038 3532.203914 5057.551328 6958.834053 9200.917433 11995.478266
2026-01-11 1407.224547 2323.870848 3502.916140 5067.299188 7028.774715 9352.618539 12260.220913
2026-01-18 1350.588414 2272.459019 3470.190601 5071.229151 7090.394885 9493.535371 12511.656729
2026-01-25 1311.306871 2243.639842 3465.840016 5110.343486 7194.946312 9685.868508 12824.447470
2026-02-01 1249.771503 2181.380329 3415.599034 5089.089061 7223.081044 9784.801223 13024.735056